Liar Poker Dash Riprock
- Change ), You are commenting using your Google account. In Liar's Poker, Lewis recounts his four-year stint at Salomon Brothers, the now-defunct Wall Street investment bank where the mortgage bond was invented. Silver got certified for its expenditures before choosing to go short. Michael Lewis writes about the experiences, traits and character of managers, employees, customers.
- Liar's Poker: Rising Through the Wreckage on Wall Street Summary This semi-autobiographical non-fiction work is published in 1989. Liar's Poker relates actions and events that occur primarily in New York and London from the years 1979 to 1988.
- Dash Riprock Liar's Poker, poker online gratis dinheiro real, muere mujer en casino, is the windsor casino open today.
Dash Riprock is a pseudonym for a London salesman, who helps Mike and is admired by him. Dash makes cryptic comments about his nine months sales experience. Many of his comments refer to deteriorating financial conditions and management of Salomon.
On This Page
Introduction
Rules
- Liar's Poker is played using randomly picked currency from your wallet. The denomination does not matter. Hoarding ringers is strictly not allowed.
- All players must agree on the stakes, for example $1 per person per round. You do not have to use the exact bill you are playing for, for example you can use a $20 bill although playing for only $1.
- A rule should be set for who goes first, for example whose letter in the serial number is lowest, or who won the last time. Who goes first is not very important, in my opinion.
- A hierarchy of numerals should be established. I prefer zeros are low and nines are high.
- Players in turn bid on the combined numbers in all serial numbers, your own and those of the other players.
- Each player must in turn either declare a higher hand than the player player or challenge.
- In a 3+ player game all players must challenge to end the game.
- Eventually a player will be challenged. Then the combined serial numbers will be used to determine if the last hand called exists. For example if the challenged hand is four eights then there must be at least four eights on all serial numbers. If players trust each other than can simply declare how many of the given number they have, of course the challenged player reserves the right to see the bills if he so requests.
- If the serial numbers support the challenged player then the player will win the agreed upon stakes from each other player. Otherwise the challenged player must pay each other player the agreed upon stakes.
Let's look an example. Suppose there are three players playing for $1 stakes with the following serial numbers:
Player 1: 06742088
Player 2: 92859819
Player 3: 07202503
Here is the play of the game, player 1 goes first:
Player 1: 2 zeros
Player 2: 2 fives
Player 3: 3 zeros
Player 1: 3 eights
Player 2: 3 nines
Player 3: 4 zeros
Player 1: 5 zeros
Player 2: challenge
Player 3: 6 zeros
Player 1: challenge
Player 2: challenge
At this point there must be 6 zeros for player 3 to win. There are only 5 so player 3 must play player 1 and 2 $1 each. Had player 2 had a zero then player 3 would have won.
Strategy
In 3+ player games it often happens that a player is in a damned if you do damned if you don't situation. Assuming that by challenging you will definitely lose, and by raising you definitely will be challenged, you should always raise in a 2-player game, raise if your probably of winning by doing is 25% or greater in a 3-player game, 33.33% in a 4-player game, and (n-2)/(2n-2) for n players. Of course nothing is ever certain, so this scenario is admitedly unrealistic.
It often happens that you need at least one other player to have at least one of a certain number for you to win. Assuming nothing about the other player's numbers (again an admitedly unrealistic assumption) the following table shows the probability of the total number of any given number according to the number of other players.
Probabilities in Liars Poker
| Number of Numerals | Number of Other Players | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 0.430467 | 0.185302 | 0.079766 | 0.034337 |
| 1 | 0.382638 | 0.329426 | 0.212711 | 0.122087 |
| 2 | 0.148803 | 0.274522 | 0.271797 | 0.21026 |
| 3 | 0.033067 | 0.142344 | 0.221464 | 0.233622 |
| 4 | 0.004593 | 0.051402 | 0.129187 | 0.188196 |
So if you are playing with two other players and you have 3 fives and call four fives the probability of winning if you are challenged is 1-0.185302 = 0.814698. However if you need two fives the probability drops to 1-0.185302-0.329426 = 0.485272.
The next table shows the probability that any specific number will appear n times.
Specific Number Odds in Liar's Poker
| Number | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8 | 0.00000001 |
| 7 | 0.00000072 |
| 6 | 0.00002268 |
| 5 | 0.00040824 |
| 4 | 0.00459270 |
| 3 | 0.03306744 |
| 2 | 0.14880348 |
| 1 | 0.38263752 |
| 0 | 0.43046721 |
| Total | 1.00000000 |
The next table shows the probability of every possible type of bill, categorized by the number of each n-of-a-kind. For example, the serial number 66847680 would have one three of a kind, one pair, and three singletons, for a probability of 0.1693440.
General Probabilities in Liar's Poker
| 8 o.a.k. | 7 o.a.k. | 6 o.a.k. | 5 o.a.k. | 4 o.a.k. | 3 o.a.k. | 2 o.a.k. | 1 o.a.k. | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.0000001 | |||||||
| 1 | 1 | 0.0000072 | ||||||
| 1 | 1 | 0.0000252 | ||||||
| 1 | 2 | 0.0002016 | ||||||
| 1 | 1 | 0.0000504 | ||||||
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.0012096 | |||||
| 1 | 3 | 0.0028224 | ||||||
| 2 | 0.0000315 | |||||||
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.0020160 | |||||
| 1 | 2 | 0.0015120 | ||||||
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.0211680 | |||||
| 1 | 4 | 0.0211680 | ||||||
| 2 | 1 | 0.0020160 | ||||||
| 2 | 2 | 0.0141120 | ||||||
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.0423360 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.1693440 | |||||
| 1 | 5 | 0.0846720 | ||||||
| 4 | 0.0052920 | |||||||
| 3 | 2 | 0.1270080 | ||||||
| 2 | 4 | 0.3175200 | ||||||
| 1 | 6 | 0.1693440 | ||||||
| 8 | 0.0181440 | |||||||
| Total | 1.0000000 | |||||||
o.a.k. = 'of a kind'The next table summarizes the table above in groups of the more frequent occurrence of any digit.
Greatest Frequency Odds in Liar's Poker
| Greatest Frequency | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8 of a kind | 0.0000001 |
| 7 of a kind | 0.0000072 |
| 6 of a kind | 0.0002268 |
| 5 of a kind | 0.0040824 |
| 4 of a kind | 0.0458955 |
| 3 of a kind | 0.3124800 |
| 2 of a kind | 0.6191640 |
| 1 of a kind | 0.0181440 |
| Total | 1.0000000 |
Dash Riprock Character
Written by:Michael Shackleford| Author | Michael Lewis |
|---|---|
| Country | United States |
| Language | English |
| Genre | Economics |
| Publisher | W. W. Norton & Company |
Publication date | October 17, 1989 |
| Media type | Hardcover |
| Pages | 256 |
| ISBN | 9780393027501 |
| OCLC | 19321697 |
| Followed by | The Money Culture |
Liar's Poker is a non-fiction, semi-autobiographical book by Michael Lewis describing the author's experiences as a bond salesman on Wall Street during the late 1980s.[1] First published in 1989, it is considered one of the books that defined Wall Street during the 1980s, along with Bryan Burrough and John Helyar's Barbarians at the Gate: The Fall of RJR Nabisco, and the fictional The Bonfire of the Vanities by Tom Wolfe. The book captures an important period in the history of Wall Street. Two important figures in that history feature prominently in the text, the head of Salomon Brothers' mortgage department Lewis Ranieri and the firm's CEO John Gutfreund.
The book's name is taken from liar's poker, a high-stakes gambling game popular with the bond traders in the book.
Overview[edit]
The narrative of Liar's Poker jumps back and forth between two different threads.
One thread is autobiographical: it follows Lewis through his college education, his hiring by Salomon Brothers (now a subsidiary of Citigroup) in 1984, and his training at the firm. It is a first-person account of the personalities, workplace practices, and culture of bond traders. Several high-ranking Salomon Brothers employees of the era, such as arbitrageur John Meriwether, mortgage department head Lewis Ranieri, and firm CEO John Gutfreund, feature prominently.
The book's other thread gives an overview of Wall Street history before focusing on the history of Salomon Brothers particularly. This thread is less dependent on Lewis' personal experience and features quotes drawn from interviews. It is primarily concerned with how the Salomon Brothers firm almost single-handedly created a market for mortgage bonds that made the firm wealthy, only to be outdone by Michael Milken and his junk bonds.
Biographical section[edit]
Dash Riprock Flintstones
Lewis was an art history student at Princeton University, who wanted to break into Wall Street to make money. He describes his almost pathetic attempts to find a finance job, only to be roundly rejected by every firm to which he applied. For example, in 1982 Lehman Brothers had rejected his employment application. He then enrolled in the London School of Economics to gain a master's degree in economics.
While in England, Lewis was invited to a banquet hosted by the Queen Mother, where his cousin, Baroness Linda Monroe von Stauffenberg, one of the organizers of the banquet, purposefully seated him next to the wife of the London managing partner of Salomon Brothers. She hoped that his intelligence might impress her enough for her to suggest to her husband that Lewis, be given a job with Salomon Brothers. The strategy worked, and Lewis was granted an interview and subsequently received a job offer.
Lewis then moved to New York City for Salomon's training program. Here he was appalled at the sophomoric, obtuse and obnoxious behavior of some of his fellow trainees, and indoctrinated into the money culture of Salomon Brothers and the Wall Street culture as a whole.
From New York Lewis was shipped to the London office of Salomon Brothers as a bond salesman. Despite his lack of knowledge, he was soon handling millions of dollars in investment accounts. In 1987 he witnessed a near-hostile takeover of Salomon Brothers but survived with his job. However, growing disillusioned with his work, Lewis quit the firm at the beginning of 1988 to write this book and become a financial journalist. The first edition was published October 17, 1989.
Wall Street culture[edit]
The book is an unflattering portrayal of Wall Street traders and salesmen, their personalities, their beliefs, and their work practices.
During the training sessions, Lewis was struck by the infantilism of most of his fellow trainees. Examples included yelling at and insulting financial experts who talked to them, throwing spit balls at one another and at lecturers, calling phone sex lines and then broadcasting them over the company's intercom, gambling on behavioral traits (such as how long it took certain trainees to fall asleep during lectures), and the trainees' incredible lust for money and contempt for any position that did not earn much.
Dash Riprock You Cad
Lewis attributed the bond traders' and salesmen's behavior to the fact that the trading floor required neither finesse nor advanced financial knowledge, but, rather, the ability and desire to exploit others' weaknesses, to intimidate others into listening to traders and salesmen, and the ability to spend hours a day screaming orders under high pressure situations. He referred to their worldview as 'The Law of the Jungle.'
He also noted that, although most arrivals on Wall Street had studied economics, this knowledge was never used; in fact, any academic knowledge was frowned on by traders.
Lewis also attributed the savings and loan scandal of the 1980s and 1990s to the inability of inexperienced, provincial, small-town bank managers to compete with Wall Street. He described people on Wall Street as masters at taking advantage of an undiscerning public, which the savings and loan industry provided in abundance.
Catch phrases[edit]
- Big Swinging Dick — A big-time trader or salesman. ('If he could make millions of dollars come out of those phones, he became that most revered of all species: a Big Swinging Dick.' p. 56.) The opposite of this term is Geek, used to refer to a just-hired trainee.
- Equities in Dallas — A particularly undesirable job within a finance firm. ('Thus, Equities in Dallas became training program shorthand for 'Just bury that lowest form of human scum where it will never be seen again' p. 58.)
- Blowing up a customer — Successfully convincing a customer to purchase an investment product which ends up declining rapidly in value, forcing the client to end up withdrawing from the market.
- Feeding Frenzy — The Friday-morning meal shared by a certain clique of bond traders. At this meal, traders would order astounding quantities of take-out food, far more than they could eat (e.g., a five-gallon tubs of guacamole with an order of $400 worth of Mexican food). The traders would then compete with each other to see who could display the most gluttony.
- The Human Piranha — Nickname for an employee [2] at Salomon Brothers who constantly used the word 'fuck' and its variants in his speech. A reference to Tom Wolfe's character in The Bonfire of the Vanities.
- No Tears — Used to describe a preset alternate rule Michael Lewis describes in the book, John Gutfreund challenges John Meriweather to a game of liar's poker, in which he states 'no tears' which means players of the game who lose can't complain about losing afterwards.
Reception[edit]
Despite the book's quite unflattering depiction of Wall Street firms and many of the people who worked there, many younger readers were fascinated by the life depicted. Many read it as a 'how-to manual' and asked the author for additional 'secrets' that he might care to share.[3]
See also[edit]
- Lewis, Michael, The End, Condé Nast Portfolio, December 2008. Written by Lewis, this cover story can be read as the epilogue or wrap-up of Liar's Poker.
- David, Greg, 'The Securities Industry and New York City'[permanent dead link], Financial History, Museum of American Finance, Spring/Summer 2009.
References[edit]
- ^Lewis, Michael, Liar's Poker, W.W. Norton & Company, 1989. ISBN0-393-02750-3. 'Archived copy'. Archived from the original on 2009-05-01. Retrieved 2009-05-25.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
- ^'The Human Piranha' is said to be Tom Bernard[1] who ran trading businesses for Salomon Brothers, Kidder Peabody, and Lehman Brothers for twenty-eight years on Wall Street.
- ^ Simon Johnson and James Kwak, '13 Bankers: The Wall Street Takeover and the Next Financial Meltdown', (New York: Pantheon Books, 2010), p. 113-114 'citing' Michael Lewis, 'The End' 'Portfolio,' Dec. 2008
External links[edit]
- Liar's Poker (book details) - The Official Michael Lewis Website